Análise da variação de demanda pagante no transporte coletivo por ônibus em grandes cidades brasileiras

Abstract

Public transport bus ridership in Brazilian cities has been declining in recent years. There are several reasons for this event, with the entrance of ride-hailing services in the market - such as Uber - most recently being cited as one of the main causes. Using a panel data model with fixed effects for four Brazilian cities (Belo Horizonte, Fortaleza, Porto Alegre e Salvador), this paper seeks to verify the relation of several factors with the decrease of urban buses fare-paying passengers. Among these factors, we highlight the effects of gratuities and the level of employment of the economy. In our model, the entrance of ride-hailing services in the market seems to collaborate with the decrease of fare-paying passengers.