Dia de jogo : uma análise da relação entre futebol e violência doméstica no Brasil entre 2015 e 2019

Abstract

Domestic violence against women has historical and social roots, associated with the male chauvinismo stemming from a patriarchal society, which can be intensified by emotional triggers leading to aggressions in various forms. In order to analyze the relationship between football and domestic violence, using the number of female homicides from DATASUS as a proxy for femicide, expectancy variables were created to verify whether the expected outcome by betting houses was confirmed or not by game results. Therefore, given the characteristic of death data being of the counting type, Poisson Regression was used as the model for tests, the result of which indicates a higher probability of deaths on days when there are games. Also, the potential occurrence of frustration and euphoria indicates a higher number of deaths on game days, while the victory of the home team tends to reduce when it is expected and occurs. Overall, the results align with available literature and demonstrate that, even though femicide, the ultimate stage of aggression against women, occurs due to historical and social factors, psychological triggers can have an influence on aggressions at certain times