Os efeitos do acordo de associação transpacífico (TTP) e do acordo de parceria transatlântico de comércio e investimento (TTIP) sobre o mercado internacional de fertilizantes

Abstract

The present study aims to evaluate the possible impacts of eliminating tariff barriers on the fertilizer market. To evaluate the effects of free trade is used a spatial model formulated as Mixed Complementary Problem (MCP). To achieve the proposed objective, five scenarios are simulated: the first considers the elimination of tariff barriers in a multilateral arrangement; the second simulates the expansion of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership Agreement (TTIP), including Brazil in the agreement; the third simulates the inclusion of Brazil in the Trans-Pacific Association Agreement (TTP); the fourth simulates the formation of a bilateral agreement that eliminates trade barriers between Brazil and Russia; and the fifth simulates an agreement between Brazil and the region of Africa. The biggest gains are in the scenario where the elimination of all tariff barriers in a multilateral trade agreement is considered, which means that for the fertilizer market the elimination of tariff barriers in a multilateral trading arrangement is the best option for production for all producers than regional arrangements.